Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-09-29 0.110589 0.123596 0.136914 0.151532 0.167086 0.183104 0.200810
2024-10-06 0.095047 0.113250 0.132593 0.154544 0.178630 0.204131 0.233050
2024-10-13 0.082601 0.104240 0.127995 0.155720 0.186915 0.220672 0.259710
2024-10-20 0.072261 0.096260 0.123409 0.155899 0.193255 0.234430 0.282822
2024-10-27 0.063090 0.088617 0.118338 0.154748 0.197438 0.245266 0.302269
2024-11-03 0.056674 0.083586 0.115748 0.155962 0.203911 0.258369 0.324032
2024-11-10 0.052579 0.080983 0.115709 0.159892 0.213318 0.274679 0.349361
2024-11-17 0.047211 0.076267 0.112679 0.159865 0.217757 0.285012 0.367641
2024-11-24 0.043209 0.072982 0.111145 0.161423 0.223900 0.297204 0.387995
2024-12-01 0.039527 0.069809 0.109500 0.162628 0.229448 0.308576 0.407315
2024-12-08 0.035829 0.066303 0.107173 0.162760 0.233514 0.318062 0.424328
2024-12-15 0.032816 0.063523 0.105612 0.163710 0.238471 0.328537 0.442472
2024-12-22 0.029101 0.059575 0.102469 0.162735 0.241282 0.336806 0.458543
2024-12-29 0.027072 0.058012 0.102500 0.165873 0.249288 0.351463 0.482404
2025-01-05 0.024640 0.055600 0.101182 0.167098 0.254778 0.362998 0.502502
2025-01-12 0.022143 0.052844 0.099198 0.167283 0.258830 0.372697 0.520348
2025-01-19 0.019521 0.049612 0.096319 0.166078 0.260950 0.379903 0.535090
2025-01-26 0.017774 0.047713 0.095291 0.167346 0.266257 0.391084 0.554734
2025-02-02 0.016848 0.047196 0.096302 0.171452 0.275325 0.407044 0.580349
2025-02-09 0.015074 0.044922 0.094475 0.171424 0.278801 0.415857 0.597064
2025-02-16 0.013806 0.043476 0.093849 0.173051 0.284464 0.427450 0.617264
2025-02-23 0.012572 0.041957 0.093014 0.174309 0.289585 0.438333 0.636585
2025-03-02 0.011238 0.040071 0.091473 0.174447 0.293123 0.447145 0.653293